{"id":"GSX:SRD-003:C01","local_id":"C01","claim":"At a 6 percent real discount rate, the best industrial case overtakes the central value of the cash transfer in 2040 when the surviving public asset is counted, and in 2051 when only operating benefits are counted.","claim_type":"conditional","status":"conditional","evidence_status":"modelled","confidence":null,"depends_on":["GSX:SRD-003:A01","GSX:SRD-003:A02","GSX:SRD-003:A03"],"result":"GSX:SRD-003:R01","results":["GSX:SRD-003:R01"],"sensitivity":"high","main_limitation":"There is no universal year when a factory becomes better than a cash transfer. The best case requires exceptional execution and a credible residual asset. The original households are not necessarily repaid even if the aggregate account later wins.","source_study":"GSX:SRD-003","version":"1.0","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/r350-counterfactual/consumption-today-or-productive-capital-tomorrow/claims/C01","supported_by":["GSX:SRD-003:PDF"],"contradicted_by":[],"qualifies":[],"contradicts":[]}