{"id":"GSX:POP-003:C03","local_id":"C03","claim":"For a saver who remains continuously employed, the model's monthly private pension is R17,223 if retirement is at 60, R23,309 at 65, R31,727 at 70, and R43,839 at 75.","claim_type":"conditional","status":"conditional","evidence_status":"modelled","confidence":null,"depends_on":["GSX:POP-003:A03"],"result":"GSX:POP-003:R03","results":["GSX:POP-003:R03"],"sensitivity":"moderate","main_limitation":"The continuous-employment path is the strongest private case and the easiest to overstate. The manuscript's mixed-occupation path is lower because not everyone keeps a job after 60. A larger balance at a later age can coexist with years of weak earnings before the pension can be drawn.","source_study":"GSX:POP-003","version":"1.0","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/population-futures/does-raising-the-retirement-age-actually-work/claims/C03","supported_by":["GSX:POP-003:PDF"],"contradicted_by":[],"qualifies":[],"contradicts":[]}