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It is not a forecast of the current deficit.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/emergency-ageing-austerity"},{"id":"GSX:POP-005:A02","type":"assumption","label":"Thirteen policy levers are each capped at a visible but limited level. Their mature annual yields are scenario capacities assigned by the model, not official costings.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/emergency-ageing-austerity"},{"id":"GSX:POP-005:R01","type":"result","label":"All five selected packages close R150 billion once fully implemented. The balanced transition has the lowest welfare-loss index, 64.5. Low visible pain scores 107.3 and leaves about R720 billion of emergency debt after ten years.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/emergency-ageing-austerity"},{"id":"GSX:POP-005:R02","type":"result","label":"The balanced transition uses R57 billion of targeted pension measures, R24 billion of additional pre-funding, R26 billion of worker tax, R22 billion from a phased retirement-age change, R6 billion of weaker indexation, and R15 billion of continuing borrowing. It avoids healthcare and non-age service cuts.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/emergency-ageing-austerity"},{"id":"GSX:POP-005:C02","type":"claim","label":"The balanced transition in the model closes the gap with R57 billion of targeted pension measures, R24 billion of additional pre-funding, R26 billion of worker tax, R22 billion from a phased retirement-age change, R6 billion of weaker indexation, and R15 billion of continuing borrowing. 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