{"id":"GSX:POP-012:A02","local_id":"A02","name":"Three governance paths","statement":"The best case is a guardrailed constitutional emergency ending in 2052. The average case is an extended executive emergency to 2058. The worst case is a permanent constitutional suspension that has not ended by 2080.","value":"qualitative","unit":"not a scalar","type":"model assumption","provenance":"Manuscript Part I and legal-boundary table","evidence_strength":"scenario","sensitivity":"high","alternatives":["A different sunset date"],"href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/population-futures/extreme-fiscal-pressure/assumptions/A02"}