{"id":"GSX:POP-009:A02","local_id":"A02","name":"Central shrinkage path","statement":"In the central scenario, population falls by 0.5 percent a year and average household size falls from 2.86 to 2.15.","value":"0.5","unit":"percent population decline per year","type":"model assumption","provenance":"Manuscript central scenario","evidence_strength":"scenario","sensitivity":"high","alternatives":["Stable household size"],"href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/population-futures/how-to-shrink-a-country-without-breaking-it/assumptions/A02"}