{"id":"GSX:AFR-002:C01","local_id":"C01","claim":"In the central regional-hub scenario, an 8 percent capture share produces about US$90.4 billion of cumulative financial-services revenue and about US$71.2 billion of value retained in South Africa.","claim_type":"conditional","status":"conditional","evidence_status":"modelled","confidence":null,"depends_on":["GSX:AFR-002:A01"],"result":"GSX:AFR-002:R01","results":["GSX:AFR-002:R01","GSX:AFR-002:R02"],"sensitivity":"high","main_limitation":"The captured flow is not South African GDP. The paths are constructed, not forecasts. Financial intermediation does not replace weak electricity, logistics, education or public institutions.","source_study":"GSX:AFR-002","version":"1.0","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/african-convergence/johannesburg-as-africas-financial-capital/claims/C01","supported_by":["GSX:AFR-002:PDF"],"contradicted_by":[],"qualifies":[],"contradicts":[]}