{"id":"GSX:AFR-001:A01","local_id":"A01","name":"Conditional growth rates","statement":"The central scenario assumes the rest of Africa sustains 4.2 percent annual real growth from 2024 to 2050 while South Africa grows at 3.5 percent.","value":"3.5","unit":"percent annual real growth, South Africa","type":"model assumption","provenance":"Manuscript Part I","evidence_strength":"scenario","sensitivity":"high","alternatives":["A path that merely holds the present GDP share"],"href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/african-convergence/south-africa-in-a-richer-africa/assumptions/A01"}