{"id":"GSX:AFR-001:C01","local_id":"C01","claim":"If the rest of Africa grows at 4.2 percent and South Africa at 3.5 percent, the manuscript's central scenario has South African GDP at about US$981 billion, real GDP per person up roughly 109 percent, and the continental GDP share down from 13.8 to 11.9 percent.","claim_type":"conditional","status":"conditional","evidence_status":"modelled","confidence":null,"depends_on":["GSX:AFR-001:A01","GSX:AFR-001:A02"],"result":"GSX:AFR-001:R01","results":["GSX:AFR-001:R01"],"sensitivity":"high","main_limitation":"This is a conditional scenario, not a forecast that African convergence will happen. A falling rank is not a fall in South African income.","source_study":"GSX:AFR-001","version":"1.0","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/african-convergence/south-africa-in-a-richer-africa/claims/C01","supported_by":["GSX:AFR-001:PDF"],"contradicted_by":[],"qualifies":[],"contradicts":[]}