{"schema_version":"GreyResearchGraph 1.0","study_id":"GSX:AFR-001","node_count":15,"edge_count":18,"nodes":[{"id":"GSX:AFR-001:C01","type":"claim","label":"If the rest of Africa grows at 4.2 percent and South Africa at 3.5 percent, the manuscript's central scenario has South African GDP at about US$981 billion, real GDP per person up roughly 109 percent, and the continental GDP share down from 13.8 to 11.9 percent.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/african-convergence/south-africa-in-a-richer-africa/claims/C01"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-001:A01","type":"assumption","label":"The central scenario assumes the rest of Africa sustains 4.2 percent annual real growth from 2024 to 2050 while South Africa grows at 3.5 percent.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/south-africa-in-a-richer-africa"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-001:A02","type":"assumption","label":"In 2024 South Africa contained about 4.2 percent of Africa's population and produced roughly 13.8 percent of the continent's measured GDP in current US dollars.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/south-africa-in-a-richer-africa"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-001:R01","type":"result","label":"South African GDP more than doubles in real terms to about US$981 billion, real GDP per person rises by roughly 109 percent, and the share of African GDP falls from 13.8 to 11.9 percent.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/south-africa-in-a-richer-africa"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-001:C02","type":"claim","label":"If South African-linked income from the rest of Africa reaches 1.5 percent of that larger economy, the annual flow is about US$109 billion in 2050. The manuscript does not add that flow on top of GDP.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/african-convergence/south-africa-in-a-richer-africa/claims/C02"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-001:A03","type":"assumption","label":"The platform strategy sets income retained by South African workers, firms and investors from the rest of Africa at 1.5 percent of that larger continental economy. It is not added mechanically to GDP.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/south-africa-in-a-richer-africa"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-001:R02","type":"result","label":"At a 1.5 percent retained share, the annual platform flow is about US$109 billion in 2050. In the platform scenario the manuscript also reports real economic growth of roughly 145 percent while the continental GDP share falls by two percentage points.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/south-africa-in-a-richer-africa"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-001","type":"study","label":"South Africa in a Richer Africa","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/african-convergence/south-africa-in-a-richer-africa"},{"id":"GSX:AFR","type":"series","label":"African Convergence","evidence_status":null,"href":"https://greyscienx.com/series/african-convergence"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-001:M01","type":"model","label":"Continental growth and platform-income scenario","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/south-africa-in-a-richer-africa"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-001:PDF","type":"source","label":"South Africa in a Richer Africa","evidence_status":null,"href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/african-convergence/south-africa-in-a-richer-africa.pdf"},{"id":"GSX:TOPIC:african-economy","type":"topic","label":"African economy","evidence_status":null,"href":"https://greyscienx.com/topics/african-economy"},{"id":"GSX:TOPIC:south-africa","type":"topic","label":"South Africa","evidence_status":null,"href":"https://greyscienx.com/topics/south-africa"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-002","type":"study","label":"Johannesburg as Africa’s Financial Capital","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/african-convergence/johannesburg-as-africas-financial-capital"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-003","type":"study","label":"The Factory for African Urbanisation","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/african-convergence/the-factory-for-african-urbanisation"}],"edges":[{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001:C01","predicate":"depends_on","object_id":"GSX:AFR-001:A01","note":"Registered dependency."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001:C01","predicate":"depends_on","object_id":"GSX:AFR-001:A02","note":"Registered dependency."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001:C01","predicate":"derived_from","object_id":"GSX:AFR-001:R01","note":"Registered result."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001:C02","predicate":"depends_on","object_id":"GSX:AFR-001:A03","note":"Registered dependency."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001:C02","predicate":"derived_from","object_id":"GSX:AFR-001:R02","note":"Registered result."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001","predicate":"part_of","object_id":"GSX:AFR","note":"African Convergence"},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001","predicate":"has_claim","object_id":"GSX:AFR-001:C01","note":"Registered claim."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001:C01","predicate":"generated_by","object_id":"GSX:AFR-001:M01","note":"Continental growth and platform-income scenario"},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001:C01","predicate":"supported_by","object_id":"GSX:AFR-001:PDF","note":"Source registered on the conditional claim."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001","predicate":"has_claim","object_id":"GSX:AFR-001:C02","note":"Registered claim."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001:C02","predicate":"generated_by","object_id":"GSX:AFR-001:M01","note":"Continental growth and platform-income scenario"},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001:C02","predicate":"supported_by","object_id":"GSX:AFR-001:PDF","note":"Source registered on the conditional claim."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001","predicate":"has_topic","object_id":"GSX:TOPIC:african-economy","note":"Registered topic."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001","predicate":"has_topic","object_id":"GSX:TOPIC:south-africa","note":"Registered topic."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001","predicate":"related_to","object_id":"GSX:AFR-002","note":"African Convergence"},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001","predicate":"related_to","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003","note":"African Convergence"},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-002","predicate":"related_to","object_id":"GSX:AFR-001","note":"African Convergence"},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003","predicate":"related_to","object_id":"GSX:AFR-001","note":"African Convergence"}]}