{"id":"GSX:IND-005:A01","local_id":"A01","name":"Central manufacturing path","statement":"In the central catch-up case, African manufacturing value added grows from a rounded US$300 billion in 2025 to about US$1.14 trillion in 2050. Factory-equipment purchases average 24 percent of manufacturing value added.","value":"24","unit":"percent of manufacturing value added spent on factory equipment","type":"model assumption","provenance":"Manuscript Part I","evidence_strength":"scenario","sensitivity":"high","alternatives":["Drift case","Industrial-surge case"],"href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/strategic-industrialisation/the-capital-goods-economy/assumptions/A01"}