{"id":"GSX:IND-005:C01","local_id":"C01","claim":"In the central catch-up case, a weighted 6.7 percent equipment share produces about US$262 billion of South African equipment sales over twenty-five years and about US$201 billion of value retained in South Africa.","claim_type":"conditional","status":"conditional","evidence_status":"modelled","confidence":null,"depends_on":["GSX:IND-005:A01","GSX:IND-005:A02","GSX:IND-005:A03"],"result":"GSX:IND-005:R01","results":["GSX:IND-005:R01","GSX:IND-005:R02"],"sensitivity":"high","main_limitation":"The paths are scenarios, not forecasts, and the retained value cannot be added mechanically to a GDP forecast. Some of this activity already exists. The result is a scale test of a selected machinery and service position, not a claim that South Africa should make every final product.","source_study":"GSX:IND-005","version":"1.0","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/strategic-industrialisation/the-capital-goods-economy/claims/C01","supported_by":["GSX:IND-005:PDF"],"contradicted_by":[],"qualifies":[],"contradicts":[]}