{"id":"GSX:IND-005:C02","local_id":"C02","claim":"Under the drift case, cumulative equipment demand is US$1.80 trillion. The industrial-surge case reaches US$7.11 trillion. The opportunity depends on African industrialisation actually occurring.","claim_type":"conditional","status":"conditional","evidence_status":"modelled","confidence":null,"depends_on":["GSX:IND-005:A01"],"result":"GSX:IND-005:R01","results":["GSX:IND-005:R01"],"sensitivity":"high","main_limitation":"Demography alone does not buy machines. The domestic machinery base is also described as eroding, so the share is not assured.","source_study":"GSX:IND-005","version":"1.0","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/strategic-industrialisation/the-capital-goods-economy/claims/C02","supported_by":["GSX:IND-005:PDF"],"contradicted_by":[],"qualifies":[],"contradicts":[]}