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Factory-equipment purchases average 24 percent of manufacturing value added.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/the-capital-goods-economy"},{"id":"GSX:IND-005:A02","type":"assumption","label":"The central portfolio uses a weighted 6.7 percent South African share of equipment demand, with category shares from 3 to 10 percent.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/the-capital-goods-economy"},{"id":"GSX:IND-005:A03","type":"assumption","label":"Spares, maintenance and refurbishment equal 4.5 percent of the surviving installed base each year. Software, training and finance add 1.8 percent.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/the-capital-goods-economy"},{"id":"GSX:IND-005:R01","type":"result","label":"The central case produces a cumulative capital-goods market of US$3.89 trillion and about US$262 billion of South African equipment sales over twenty-five years, in constant 2024 dollars.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/the-capital-goods-economy"},{"id":"GSX:IND-005:R02","type":"result","label":"Lifecycle revenue is about US$105 billion. Cumulative value retained in South Africa is approximately US$201 billion, about US$8.0 billion a year on average, with an illustrative 80,000 direct jobs.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/the-capital-goods-economy"},{"id":"GSX:IND-005:C02","type":"claim","label":"Under the drift case, cumulative equipment demand is US$1.80 trillion. The industrial-surge case reaches US$7.11 trillion. 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