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The manuscript attributes the trajectory to UN-Habitat and the United Nations, not to a GreyScienx population forecast.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/the-factory-for-african-urbanisation"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-003:A02","type":"assumption","label":"About US$7.1 trillion of the central market is treated as contestable by external suppliers. The retention case keeps 52 percent of captured sales as South African value added.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/the-factory-for-african-urbanisation"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-003:R01","type":"result","label":"The central scenario is US$17.9 trillion of all-in urban capital formation. Captured South African-linked gross sales are US$264 billion.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/the-factory-for-african-urbanisation"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-003:R02","type":"result","label":"Domestic value added is about US$137 billion over twenty-five years, US$5.5 billion a year on average, with an illustrative 65,000 direct jobs.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/the-factory-for-african-urbanisation"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-003:C02","type":"claim","label":"The supplier position in the manuscript is equipment, engineering, finance, standards and maintenance, with bulky production placed near demand. The basic-provision case is US$8.5 trillion and the convergence case is US$32.2 trillion.","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/african-convergence/the-factory-for-african-urbanisation/claims/C02"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-001","type":"study","label":"South Africa in a Richer Africa","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/african-convergence/south-africa-in-a-richer-africa"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-003","type":"study","label":"The Factory for African Urbanisation","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/african-convergence/the-factory-for-african-urbanisation"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-002","type":"study","label":"Johannesburg as Africa’s Financial Capital","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/african-convergence/johannesburg-as-africas-financial-capital"},{"id":"GSX:AFR","type":"series","label":"African Convergence","evidence_status":null,"href":"https://greyscienx.com/series/african-convergence"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-003:M01","type":"model","label":"Urban build-out supplier model","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/api/v1/research/the-factory-for-african-urbanisation"},{"id":"GSX:AFR-003:PDF","type":"source","label":"The Factory for African Urbanisation","evidence_status":null,"href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/african-convergence/the-factory-for-african-urbanisation.pdf"},{"id":"GSX:TOPIC:african-economy","type":"topic","label":"African economy","evidence_status":null,"href":"https://greyscienx.com/topics/african-economy"},{"id":"GSX:TOPIC:cities","type":"topic","label":"Cities","evidence_status":null,"href":"https://greyscienx.com/topics/cities"},{"id":"GSX:TOPIC:industrialisation","type":"topic","label":"Industrialisation","evidence_status":null,"href":"https://greyscienx.com/topics/industrialisation"},{"id":"GSX:TOPIC:south-africa","type":"topic","label":"South Africa","evidence_status":null,"href":"https://greyscienx.com/topics/south-africa"}],"edges":[{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003:C01","predicate":"depends_on","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003:A01","note":"Registered dependency."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003:C01","predicate":"depends_on","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003:A02","note":"Registered dependency."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003:C01","predicate":"derived_from","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003:R01","note":"Registered result."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003:C01","predicate":"derived_from","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003:R02","note":"Registered result."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003:C02","predicate":"depends_on","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003:A01","note":"Registered dependency."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003:C02","predicate":"derived_from","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003:R01","note":"Registered result."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-001","predicate":"related_to","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003","note":"African Convergence"},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-002","predicate":"related_to","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003","note":"African Convergence"},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003","predicate":"part_of","object_id":"GSX:AFR","note":"African Convergence"},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003","predicate":"has_claim","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003:C01","note":"Registered claim."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003:C01","predicate":"generated_by","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003:M01","note":"Urban build-out supplier model"},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003:C01","predicate":"supported_by","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003:PDF","note":"Source registered on the conditional claim."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003","predicate":"has_claim","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003:C02","note":"Registered claim."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003:C02","predicate":"generated_by","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003:M01","note":"Urban build-out supplier model"},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003:C02","predicate":"supported_by","object_id":"GSX:AFR-003:PDF","note":"Source registered on the conditional claim."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003","predicate":"has_topic","object_id":"GSX:TOPIC:african-economy","note":"Registered topic."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003","predicate":"has_topic","object_id":"GSX:TOPIC:cities","note":"Registered topic."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003","predicate":"has_topic","object_id":"GSX:TOPIC:industrialisation","note":"Registered topic."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003","predicate":"has_topic","object_id":"GSX:TOPIC:south-africa","note":"Registered topic."},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003","predicate":"related_to","object_id":"GSX:AFR-001","note":"African Convergence"},{"subject_id":"GSX:AFR-003","predicate":"related_to","object_id":"GSX:AFR-002","note":"African Convergence"}]}