{"id":"GSX:IND-006:C02","local_id":"C02","claim":"The adverse case withdraws earlier, draws a larger share and earns only 1.5 percent real. The manuscript says that path ends the century with almost nothing.","claim_type":"conditional","status":"conditional","evidence_status":"modelled","confidence":null,"depends_on":["GSX:IND-006:A02","GSX:IND-006:A03"],"result":"GSX:IND-006:R02","results":["GSX:IND-006:R02"],"sensitivity":"high","main_limitation":"The permanent character of the fund is the withdrawal rule, not the label. The rule has to survive a future government that wants the money.","source_study":"GSX:IND-006","version":"1.0","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/strategic-industrialisation/the-mineral-sovereign-wealth-fund/claims/C02","supported_by":["GSX:IND-006:PDF"],"contradicted_by":[],"qualifies":[],"contradicts":[]}