{"id":"GSX:POP-006:C01","local_id":"C01","claim":"In the average run, the median cost of one permanently additional birth ranges from about R720,000 for free childcare to R4.18 million for a parent tax exemption. The targeted family package costs about R780,000 per added birth and produces nearly 99,000 additional births per million prospective households. A cash top-up costs about R1.76 million per added birth and produces only about 12,000.","claim_type":"conditional","status":"conditional","evidence_status":"modelled","confidence":null,"depends_on":["GSX:POP-006:A01","GSX:POP-006:A02"],"result":"GSX:POP-006:R01","results":["GSX:POP-006:R01"],"sensitivity":"high","main_limitation":"The largest payment is not the cheapest birth. A programme can pay households that would have had the child anyway, or it can only move the timing. The cost figures are medians from a stylised model, with wide 10th-to-90th percentile ranges in the manuscript.","source_study":"GSX:POP-006","version":"1.0","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/population-futures/the-price-of-another-child/claims/C01","supported_by":["GSX:POP-006:PDF"],"contradicted_by":[],"qualifies":[],"contradicts":[]}