{"id":"GSX:SRD-001:C02","local_id":"C02","claim":"The average case reaches roughly R304 billion in productive assets and R9 billion in annual public cash by 2050. The worst case reaches R72 billion and R0.7 billion a year.","claim_type":"conditional","status":"conditional","evidence_status":"modelled","confidence":null,"depends_on":["GSX:SRD-001:A01","GSX:SRD-001:A02","GSX:SRD-001:A03"],"result":"GSX:SRD-001:R02","results":["GSX:SRD-001:R02"],"sensitivity":"high","main_limitation":"These paths are the reprioritised-fund counterfactual. A borrowed fund would also carry a matching liability, and neither path is automatically superior to having paid the grant.","source_study":"GSX:SRD-001","version":"1.0","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/r350-counterfactual/the-r350-industrialisation-counterfactual/claims/C02","supported_by":["GSX:SRD-001:PDF"],"contradicted_by":[],"qualifies":[],"contradicts":[]}