{"id":"GSX:SRD-002:A01","local_id":"A01","name":"Same envelope","statement":"The withheld resource is about R253.5 billion in constant 2026 purchasing power, the same base as the industrial-fund paper.","value":"253.5","unit":"billion constant 2026 rand","type":"model assumption","provenance":"Manuscript headline ledger","evidence_strength":"shared counterfactual base","sensitivity":"moderate","alternatives":["A different programme window"],"href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/r350-counterfactual/the-welfare-cost-of-not-paying-the-grant/assumptions/A01"}