{"id":"GSX:SRD-002:C02","local_id":"C02","claim":"The average industrial outcome in the companion paper does not clear this central welfare hurdle. Only an exceptionally well-executed industrial programme clearly beats it, and the later beneficiaries are not automatically the households who gave up the grant.","claim_type":"conditional","status":"conditional","evidence_status":"modelled","confidence":null,"depends_on":["GSX:SRD-002:A01","GSX:SRD-002:A02"],"result":"GSX:SRD-002:R01","results":["GSX:SRD-002:R01","GSX:SRD-002:R02"],"sensitivity":"high","main_limitation":"The comparison is between a public asset and a social cost. It does not say that cash transfers are always better than investment.","source_study":"GSX:SRD-002","version":"1.0","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/r350-counterfactual/the-welfare-cost-of-not-paying-the-grant/claims/C02","supported_by":["GSX:SRD-002:PDF"],"contradicted_by":[],"qualifies":[],"contradicts":[]}