{"id":"GSX:SRD-002:R01","local_id":"R01","statement":"The explicit welfare-equivalent cost of withholding the envelope is between R237 billion and R743 billion. The central estimate is R426.9 billion, about R1.68 of social cost for every R1 withheld.","value":"426.9","unit":"billion welfare-equivalent 2026 rand, central estimate","scenario":"Central welfare case","evidence_status":"modelled","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/r350-counterfactual/the-welfare-cost-of-not-paying-the-grant/results/R01"}