{"id":"GSX:POP-001:C02","local_id":"C02","claim":"Under those same age-60 and age-90 assumptions, the account supports only about 27 percent of final salary for life. It does not support a 60 percent replacement at a 12 percent contribution and a 3 percent real return.","claim_type":"conditional","status":"conditional","evidence_status":"modelled","confidence":null,"depends_on":["GSX:POP-001:A01","GSX:POP-001:A02"],"result":"GSX:POP-001:R02","results":["GSX:POP-001:R02"],"sensitivity":"high","main_limitation":"The replacement map holds salary growth at 1.5 percent real and indexes the pension to prices. A 60 percent target in the manuscript requires a much higher contribution, a higher return, or a later retirement age.","source_study":"GSX:POP-001","version":"1.0","href":"https://greyscienx.com/research/population-futures/when-retirement-becomes-impossible/claims/C02","supported_by":["GSX:POP-001:PDF"],"contradicted_by":[],"qualifies":[],"contradicts":[]}