{
  "scope": "Synthesis of ten preceding GreyScienx hypothetical models",
  "monetary_unit": "constant 2026 South African rand",
  "studies": [
    {
      "n": 1,
      "short": "Retirement\nsustainability",
      "title": "When Retirement Becomes Impossible",
      "metric": "27%",
      "meaning": "Sustainable replacement at 60 in the base private-pension case",
      "horizon": "40-70 years",
      "risk": 78
    },
    {
      "n": 2,
      "short": "Youth work ->\nold-age income",
      "title": "Today's Unemployment Is Tomorrow's Pension Crisis",
      "metric": "R0.15m",
      "meaning": "Wealth at 60 after persistent exclusion, versus R4.84m in stable work",
      "horizon": "40-80 years",
      "risk": 88
    },
    {
      "n": 3,
      "short": "Later\nretirement",
      "title": "Does Raising the Retirement Age Actually Work?",
      "metric": "R213bn",
      "meaning": "Public gain for a one-million-person cohort moving from 60 to 65",
      "horizon": "5-45 years",
      "risk": 59
    },
    {
      "n": 4,
      "short": "Ageing\nelectorate",
      "title": "The Politics of an Ageing Electorate",
      "metric": "2039",
      "meaning": "Baseline year age 60+ voters overtake voters aged 18-34",
      "horizon": "10-75 years",
      "risk": 73
    },
    {
      "n": 5,
      "short": "Ageing\nausterity",
      "title": "Emergency Ageing Austerity",
      "metric": "R150bn",
      "meaning": "Annual fiscal gap allocated across politically plausible packages",
      "horizon": "0-15 years",
      "risk": 82
    },
    {
      "n": 6,
      "short": "Cost of an\nextra birth",
      "title": "The Price of Another Child",
      "metric": "R780k",
      "meaning": "Median cost per additional birth for the modelled family bundle",
      "horizon": "20-90 years",
      "risk": 69
    },
    {
      "n": 7,
      "short": "Hundred-year\nlife",
      "title": "The Hundred-Year Life",
      "metric": "57.4",
      "meaning": "Work-equivalent years in the modelled multi-stage life",
      "horizon": "0-95 years",
      "risk": 65
    },
    {
      "n": 8,
      "short": "Late\ninheritance",
      "title": "Inheritance After Retirement",
      "metric": "R3.24m",
      "meaning": "Value at 100 of R1m inherited at 70, at 4% real growth",
      "horizon": "20-75 years",
      "risk": 54
    },
    {
      "n": 9,
      "short": "Managed\nshrinkage",
      "title": "How to Shrink a Country Without Breaking It",
      "metric": "+3.5%",
      "meaning": "Households by 2076 even while population falls 22.2%",
      "horizon": "10-50 years",
      "risk": 75
    },
    {
      "n": 10,
      "short": "Scarce-worker\neconomy",
      "title": "The Scarce-Worker Economy",
      "metric": "738k",
      "meaning": "Unfilled health and care jobs in the 2076 average case",
      "horizon": "10-50 years",
      "risk": 86
    }
  ],
  "synthetic_pressure_index": {
    "warning": "Normalised illustration; components are not directly commensurable",
    "early_reform_2080": 41.28788703336447,
    "delayed_2080": 118.5
  }
}