Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #217 of 1,000

P0001

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 70,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 049

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 49

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 326Deviation R 375

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 49. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 950

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 452 to R 3 473
Finished ahead: 305 / 1,000 (30,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #417 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,34% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.793
Mean bets / session: 4.988
Loss multiplier: 1.0178×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 52,5% / 54,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 19566 wagers · RTP 90,30%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 81955 wagers · RTP 61,96%

Craps / DiceR 79024 wagers · RTP 125,06%

American RouletteR 62919 wagers · RTP 259,94%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 60318 wagers · RTP 61,03%

BlackjackR 53016 wagers · RTP 75,28%

Virtual Sports BettingR 39512 wagers · RTP 83,89%

Lottery / JackpotR 37511 wagers · RTP 35,73%

BaccaratR 34110 wagers · RTP 98,93%

CrashR 33210 wagers · RTP 227,79%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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