Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #704 of 1,000

P0004

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 10,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 5 498

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 502

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 071Deviation -R 3 431

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 502. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 503

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 894 to R 4 290
Finished ahead: 200 / 1,000 (20,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #594 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,59% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.026
Mean bets / session: 5.2
Loss multiplier: 1.0232×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,2% / 53,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 37251 wagers · RTP 61,55%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 35052 wagers · RTP 74,04%

BaccaratR 2 06244 wagers · RTP 59,80%

American RouletteR 1 41731 wagers · RTP 61,12%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 06923 wagers · RTP 10,10%

BlackjackR 1 06723 wagers · RTP 81,35%

Craps / DiceR 95721 wagers · RTP 101,88%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 81517 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 65614 wagers · RTP 73,02%

Virtual Sports BettingR 47911 wagers · RTP 211,47%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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