Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #481 of 1,000

P0005

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 3,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 302

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 698

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 184Deviation -R 1 515

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 698. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 530

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 620 to R 2 311
Finished ahead: 288 / 1,000 (28,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #362 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,24% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.014
Mean bets / session: 3.926
Loss multiplier: 1.0186×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 51,7% / 53,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 37964 wagers · RTP 66,97%

European RouletteR 76235 wagers · RTP 45,28%

CrashR 54525 wagers · RTP 88,12%

Virtual Sports BettingR 45220 wagers · RTP 77,25%

BaccaratR 35316 wagers · RTP 81,54%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 33415 wagers · RTP 47,31%

American RouletteR 24911 wagers · RTP 28,92%

BlackjackR 1959 wagers · RTP 44,10%

Craps / DiceR 1688 wagers · RTP 77,38%

Lottery / JackpotR 1356 wagers · RTP 31,11%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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