Research simulation · fictional money · no deposits, prizes or visitor wagers
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Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #313 of 1,000

P0006

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 66,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 640

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 360

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 310Deviation -R 50

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

P0006 cumulative P&L by calendar monthMonth-six visible P&L -R 360. Bankroll allocations used: 1.
Month-six visible P&L -R 360. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 945

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile
-R 2 325 to R 3 951
Finished ahead
285 / 1,000 (28,5%)
At least one ruin
0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank
#417 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake
0,37% of bankroll
Sessions / week
1.747
Mean bets / session
3.543
Loss multiplier
1.0256×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win
52,3% / 52,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 48838 wagers · RTP 192,14%
European RouletteR 1 18030 wagers · RTP 61,78%
High-Volatility Video SlotR 91523 wagers · RTP 36,39%
Lottery / JackpotR 51813 wagers · RTP 13,90%
Virtual Sports BettingR 50913 wagers · RTP 70,65%
American RouletteR 46712 wagers · RTP 40,04%
BaccaratR 39110 wagers · RTP 97,75%
BlackjackR 39010 wagers · RTP 163,59%
CrashR 3058 wagers · RTP 65,66%
Craps / DiceR 431 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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