Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #205 of 1,000

P0007

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 77,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 123

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 123

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 395Deviation R 518

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 123. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 883

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 149 to R 3 028
Finished ahead: 240 / 1,000 (24,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #409 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,37% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.546
Mean bets / session: 3.554
Loss multiplier: 1.0364×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,2% / 48,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 10129 wagers · RTP 286,65%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 04828 wagers · RTP 60,69%

Virtual Sports BettingR 76320 wagers · RTP 24,35%

Craps / DiceR 73019 wagers · RTP 54,11%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 54714 wagers · RTP 35,65%

BaccaratR 3359 wagers · RTP 104,78%

CrashR 3128 wagers · RTP 73,72%

BlackjackR 2667 wagers · RTP 113,53%

Lottery / JackpotR 2256 wagers · RTP 32,00%

American RouletteR 1905 wagers · RTP 61,58%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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