Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #515 of 1,000

P0008

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 29,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 049

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 951

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 441Deviation -R 1 510

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 951. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 273

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 006 to R 3 557
Finished ahead: 239 / 1,000 (23,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #461 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,39% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.168
Mean bets / session: 4.996
Loss multiplier: 1.0082×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 53,6% / 39,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 00856 wagers · RTP 116,78%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 56444 wagers · RTP 81,91%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 48541 wagers · RTP 49,39%

Craps / DiceR 92426 wagers · RTP 123,38%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 87925 wagers · RTP 20,71%

American RouletteR 76121 wagers · RTP 143,89%

BlackjackR 66719 wagers · RTP 80,36%

Lottery / JackpotR 55215 wagers · RTP 12,32%

CrashR 46613 wagers · RTP 19,05%

BaccaratR 39911 wagers · RTP 71,32%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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