Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #281 of 1,000

P0009

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 66,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 764

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 236

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 194Deviation -R 42

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 236. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 635

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 660 to R 2 220
Finished ahead: 256 / 1,000 (25,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #374 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,24% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.539
Mean bets / session: 5.486
Loss multiplier: 1.0104×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,6% / 54,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 99443 wagers · RTP 69,72%

European RouletteR 79034 wagers · RTP 136,71%

CrashR 64828 wagers · RTP 129,21%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 44119 wagers · RTP 5,22%

BlackjackR 39617 wagers · RTP 140,91%

Virtual Sports BettingR 32214 wagers · RTP 119,78%

Craps / DiceR 32014 wagers · RTP 114,38%

Lottery / JackpotR 25411 wagers · RTP 17,32%

American RouletteR 1868 wagers · RTP 106,45%

BaccaratR 1848 wagers · RTP 61,77%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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