Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #267 of 1,000

P0010

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 80,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 830

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 170

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 643Deviation R 473

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 170. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 746

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 232 to R 2 396
Finished ahead: 174 / 1,000 (17,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #518 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,42% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.13
Mean bets / session: 4.254
Loss multiplier: 1.023×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,9% / 37,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 16651 wagers · RTP 140,24%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 78642 wagers · RTP 28,56%

European RouletteR 1 69740 wagers · RTP 154,45%

BlackjackR 1 03924 wagers · RTP 94,08%

American RouletteR 92922 wagers · RTP 92,36%

Craps / DiceR 56613 wagers · RTP 63,25%

BaccaratR 51912 wagers · RTP 97,53%

Virtual Sports BettingR 51312 wagers · RTP 118,75%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 50812 wagers · RTP 50,39%

CrashR 47811 wagers · RTP 62,34%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies