Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #161 of 1,000

P0012

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 79,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 544

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 544

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 657Deviation R 1 201

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 544. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 576

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 576 to R 4 461
Finished ahead: 253 / 1,000 (25,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #499 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,42% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.966
Mean bets / session: 5.936
Loss multiplier: 1.0395×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 44,2% / 47,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 95058 wagers · RTP 200,44%

American RouletteR 2 18242 wagers · RTP 109,21%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 98839 wagers · RTP 84,56%

BlackjackR 1 39628 wagers · RTP 70,09%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 15023 wagers · RTP 4,35%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 07021 wagers · RTP 9,53%

BaccaratR 99620 wagers · RTP 121,89%

CrashR 95319 wagers · RTP 134,76%

Craps / DiceR 87217 wagers · RTP 94,04%

Virtual Sports BettingR 62112 wagers · RTP 47,71%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies