Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #378 of 1,000

P0013

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 71,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 309

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 691

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 867Deviation R 176

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 691. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 884

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 994 to R 2 954
Finished ahead: 198 / 1,000 (19,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #534 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,51% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.153
Mean bets / session: 5.776
Loss multiplier: 1.0263×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 37,1% / 62,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 3 37570 wagers · RTP 73,99%

European RouletteR 3 32269 wagers · RTP 80,92%

BlackjackR 2 80857 wagers · RTP 95,26%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 89539 wagers · RTP 113,03%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 18325 wagers · RTP 120,85%

CrashR 1 13824 wagers · RTP 171,35%

American RouletteR 1 08622 wagers · RTP 55,99%

Craps / DiceR 86018 wagers · RTP 153,72%

BaccaratR 54911 wagers · RTP 81,60%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3297 wagers · RTP 28,57%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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