Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #581 of 1,000

P0015

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 11,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 405

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 595

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 360Deviation -R 2 235

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 595. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 027

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 022 to R 3 708
Finished ahead: 289 / 1,000 (28,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #431 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,48% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.049
Mean bets / session: 4.073
Loss multiplier: 1.0243×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 51,6% / 44,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 91469 wagers · RTP 55,82%

European RouletteR 1 77743 wagers · RTP 65,39%

BlackjackR 1 01724 wagers · RTP 107,52%

Virtual Sports BettingR 62315 wagers · RTP 81,62%

Craps / DiceR 54213 wagers · RTP 92,99%

CrashR 50912 wagers · RTP 102,41%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 50612 wagers · RTP 17,79%

BaccaratR 43510 wagers · RTP 116,55%

Lottery / JackpotR 41710 wagers · RTP 40,77%

American RouletteR 381 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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