Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #307 of 1,000

P0016

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 73,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 659

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 341

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 473Deviation R 131

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 341. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 692

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 544 to R 5 183
Finished ahead: 231 / 1,000 (23,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #513 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,54% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.179
Mean bets / session: 3.261
Loss multiplier: 1.0223×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 37,2% / 44,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 20241 wagers · RTP 127,25%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 09139 wagers · RTP 16,64%

European RouletteR 1 49128 wagers · RTP 118,71%

American RouletteR 1 05019 wagers · RTP 227,33%

Craps / DiceR 87616 wagers · RTP 99,32%

CrashR 76414 wagers · RTP 88,45%

Lottery / JackpotR 63612 wagers · RTP 15,09%

Virtual Sports BettingR 54610 wagers · RTP 80,28%

BaccaratR 3076 wagers · RTP 120,52%

BlackjackR 2635 wagers · RTP 48,48%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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