Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #446 of 1,000

P0017

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 54,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 628

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 372

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 604Deviation -R 768

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 372. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 596

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 323 to R 4 129
Finished ahead: 209 / 1,000 (20,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #500 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,59% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.995
Mean bets / session: 3.041
Loss multiplier: 1.0223×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,5% / 52,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 31841 wagers · RTP 142,77%

European RouletteR 2 17339 wagers · RTP 42,15%

Craps / DiceR 1 56828 wagers · RTP 50,06%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 70213 wagers · RTP 6,84%

American RouletteR 4538 wagers · RTP 245,47%

BlackjackR 4528 wagers · RTP 153,54%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2865 wagers · RTP 129,75%

BaccaratR 2715 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2705 wagers · RTP 26,85%

Lottery / JackpotR 1873 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies