Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #329 of 1,000

P0018

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 68,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 572

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 428

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 474Deviation R 47

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 428. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 134

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 865 to R 2 853
Finished ahead: 251 / 1,000 (25,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #442 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,38% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.99
Mean bets / session: 4.496
Loss multiplier: 1.0301×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,4% / 49,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 97355 wagers · RTP 106,51%

European RouletteR 1 83753 wagers · RTP 81,71%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 30336 wagers · RTP 110,58%

Lottery / JackpotR 81723 wagers · RTP 26,44%

Craps / DiceR 71721 wagers · RTP 145,33%

CrashR 47413 wagers · RTP 90,51%

BlackjackR 38811 wagers · RTP 125,26%

American RouletteR 3369 wagers · RTP 77,68%

BaccaratR 3209 wagers · RTP 141,25%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2607 wagers · RTP 26,15%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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