Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #526 of 1,000

P0019

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 7,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 953

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 047

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 265Deviation -R 1 782

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 047. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 757

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 164 to R 2 588
Finished ahead: 288 / 1,000 (28,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #394 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,27% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.112
Mean bets / session: 5.05
Loss multiplier: 1.0158×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 39,7% / 37,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 28155 wagers · RTP 68,85%

CrashR 1 07246 wagers · RTP 52,78%

European RouletteR 1 06145 wagers · RTP 48,73%

BaccaratR 60526 wagers · RTP 118,96%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 57625 wagers · RTP 21,88%

American RouletteR 55524 wagers · RTP 86,67%

Virtual Sports BettingR 51522 wagers · RTP 94,18%

BlackjackR 43519 wagers · RTP 120,92%

Lottery / JackpotR 25011 wagers · RTP 16,80%

Craps / DiceR 1818 wagers · RTP 77,35%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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