Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #460 of 1,000

P0020

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 25,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 460

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 540

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 238Deviation -R 1 302

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 540. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 983

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 055 to R 2 141
Finished ahead: 213 / 1,000 (21,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #422 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,40% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.508
Mean bets / session: 3.169
Loss multiplier: 1.0059×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 53,7% / 36,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 03029 wagers · RTP 90,19%

Three-Reel SlotR 70820 wagers · RTP 55,01%

Lottery / JackpotR 47313 wagers · RTP 45,67%

Craps / DiceR 46813 wagers · RTP 62,39%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2938 wagers · RTP 83,50%

BlackjackR 2908 wagers · RTP 127,76%

American RouletteR 2858 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2537 wagers · RTP 27,27%

BaccaratR 1865 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1063 wagers · RTP 38,92%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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