Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #100 of 1,000

P0021

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 93,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 12 883

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 2 883

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 630Deviation R 3 513

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 2 883. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 236

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 801 to R 3 602
Finished ahead: 238 / 1,000 (23,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #453 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,45% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.657
Mean bets / session: 3.941
Loss multiplier: 1.0017×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 37,8% / 48,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 16542 wagers · RTP 115,89%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 57931 wagers · RTP 79,32%

BaccaratR 1 12122 wagers · RTP 326,76%

BlackjackR 76915 wagers · RTP 107,09%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 76715 wagers · RTP 19,43%

Lottery / JackpotR 71014 wagers · RTP 81,13%

Virtual Sports BettingR 66413 wagers · RTP 64,50%

American RouletteR 3477 wagers · RTP 600,86%

CrashR 3447 wagers · RTP 34,52%

Craps / DiceR 2565 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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