Research simulation · fictional money · no deposits, prizes or visitor wagers
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Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #219 of 1,000

P0022

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 71,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 039

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 39

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 370Deviation R 409

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

P0022 cumulative P&L by calendar monthMonth-six visible P&L R 39. Bankroll allocations used: 1.
Month-six visible P&L R 39. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 922

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile
-R 2 819 to R 3 573
Finished ahead
292 / 1,000 (29,2%)
At least one ruin
0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank
#415 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake
0,48% of bankroll
Sessions / week
1.983
Mean bets / session
3.883
Loss multiplier
1.0086×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win
41,0% / 45,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 02744 wagers · RTP 120,03%
Three-Reel SlotR 1 74637 wagers · RTP 51,20%
American RouletteR 1 66036 wagers · RTP 181,99%
BlackjackR 97421 wagers · RTP 66,94%
CrashR 87319 wagers · RTP 97,71%
Craps / DiceR 75016 wagers · RTP 89,33%
High-Volatility Video SlotR 48110 wagers · RTP 56,96%
BaccaratR 3598 wagers · RTP 87,21%
Lottery / JackpotR 2926 wagers · RTP 31,51%
Virtual Sports BettingR 2706 wagers · RTP 99,54%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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