Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #480 of 1,000

P0023

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 34,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 327

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 673

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 592Deviation -R 1 081

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 673. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 171

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 738 to R 2 570
Finished ahead: 234 / 1,000 (23,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #450 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,36% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.796
Mean bets / session: 5.293
Loss multiplier: 1.0213×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,7% / 54,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 01361 wagers · RTP 106,86%

European RouletteR 1 75453 wagers · RTP 91,45%

BlackjackR 1 35041 wagers · RTP 79,11%

Craps / DiceR 61819 wagers · RTP 76,05%

American RouletteR 60518 wagers · RTP 123,80%

CrashR 59618 wagers · RTP 32,34%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 58718 wagers · RTP 10,39%

Lottery / JackpotR 49015 wagers · RTP 12,65%

BaccaratR 39712 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 35311 wagers · RTP 207,50%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies