Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #104 of 1,000

P0024

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 93,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 12 749

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 2 749

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 367Deviation R 3 116

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 2 749. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 899

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 315 to R 3 778
Finished ahead: 263 / 1,000 (26,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #411 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,37% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.74
Mean bets / session: 4.835
Loss multiplier: 1.0008×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,9% / 37,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 75345 wagers · RTP 63,63%

BaccaratR 1 52837 wagers · RTP 62,03%

European RouletteR 1 40536 wagers · RTP 126,26%

Craps / DiceR 64116 wagers · RTP 88,30%

Lottery / JackpotR 64016 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 57915 wagers · RTP 811,92%

American RouletteR 56214 wagers · RTP 83,45%

Virtual Sports BettingR 49012 wagers · RTP 63,42%

CrashR 48312 wagers · RTP 166,98%

BlackjackR 3729 wagers · RTP 137,50%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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