Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #344 of 1,000

P0025

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 53,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 492

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 508

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 197Deviation -R 311

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 508. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 591

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 789 to R 2 151
Finished ahead: 288 / 1,000 (28,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #371 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,32% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.539
Mean bets / session: 3.945
Loss multiplier: 1.035×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 54,3% / 45,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 34144 wagers · RTP 81,62%

European RouletteR 1 14537 wagers · RTP 144,54%

American RouletteR 39813 wagers · RTP 70,85%

Craps / DiceR 37112 wagers · RTP 85,71%

CrashR 32911 wagers · RTP 32,67%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2558 wagers · RTP 74,90%

BlackjackR 2559 wagers · RTP 52,16%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2368 wagers · RTP 122,14%

Lottery / JackpotR 2207 wagers · RTP 30,00%

BaccaratR 1806 wagers · RTP 48,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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