Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #681 of 1,000

P0026

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 14,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 5 817

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 183

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 567Deviation -R 3 616

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 183. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 520

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 721 to R 5 654
Finished ahead: 249 / 1,000 (24,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #600 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,53% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.007
Mean bets / session: 5.983
Loss multiplier: 1.0262×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,9% / 54,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 86371 wagers · RTP 66,66%

European RouletteR 2 41760 wagers · RTP 73,77%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 86847 wagers · RTP 24,95%

BaccaratR 1 00125 wagers · RTP 101,49%

Lottery / JackpotR 93823 wagers · RTP 59,49%

CrashR 83321 wagers · RTP 65,70%

Virtual Sports BettingR 65316 wagers · RTP 101,68%

Craps / DiceR 59414 wagers · RTP 91,58%

BlackjackR 59415 wagers · RTP 64,65%

American RouletteR 51513 wagers · RTP 43,11%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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