Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #322 of 1,000

P0027

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 67,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 588

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 412

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 433Deviation R 21

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 412. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 163

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 891 to R 4 036
Finished ahead: 250 / 1,000 (25,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #442 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,53% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.552
Mean bets / session: 4.191
Loss multiplier: 1.0134×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,5% / 60,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 2 32948 wagers · RTP 122,39%

European RouletteR 1 85938 wagers · RTP 39,70%

Craps / DiceR 1 60233 wagers · RTP 122,41%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 23125 wagers · RTP 87,86%

American RouletteR 82717 wagers · RTP 76,18%

CrashR 58012 wagers · RTP 158,84%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 50110 wagers · RTP 68,26%

BaccaratR 3066 wagers · RTP 130,07%

BlackjackR 2435 wagers · RTP 121,81%

Lottery / JackpotR 1523 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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