Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #561 of 1,000

P0028

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 24,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 586

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 414

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 536Deviation -R 1 877

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 414. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 419

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 534 to R 3 926
Finished ahead: 253 / 1,000 (25,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #480 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.647
Mean bets / session: 4.796
Loss multiplier: 1.0314×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,7% / 36,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 38547 wagers · RTP 44,74%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 15543 wagers · RTP 51,11%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 31026 wagers · RTP 106,41%

Craps / DiceR 1 02020 wagers · RTP 83,43%

American RouletteR 93519 wagers · RTP 150,05%

Lottery / JackpotR 75515 wagers · RTP 40,53%

CrashR 4299 wagers · RTP 14,86%

BlackjackR 4008 wagers · RTP 94,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3667 wagers · RTP 171,31%

BaccaratR 3347 wagers · RTP 145,51%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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