Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #221 of 1,000

P0029

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 76,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 027

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 27

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 380Deviation R 407

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 27. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 044

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 695 to R 3 096
Finished ahead: 234 / 1,000 (23,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #433 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,39% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.771
Mean bets / session: 4.916
Loss multiplier: 1.0046×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,1% / 62,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 64445 wagers · RTP 110,28%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 50942 wagers · RTP 66,70%

CrashR 1 42939 wagers · RTP 93,21%

BaccaratR 89625 wagers · RTP 113,84%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 59716 wagers · RTP 41,71%

BlackjackR 55315 wagers · RTP 62,57%

Virtual Sports BettingR 55015 wagers · RTP 84,29%

Craps / DiceR 51214 wagers · RTP 112,70%

Lottery / JackpotR 48913 wagers · RTP 29,45%

American RouletteR 2457 wagers · RTP 612,24%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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