Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #351 of 1,000

P0030

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 68,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 445

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 555

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 355Deviation -R 199

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 555. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 083

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 265 to R 2 469
Finished ahead: 207 / 1,000 (20,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #437 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,34% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.748
Mean bets / session: 3.57
Loss multiplier: 1.021×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 51,9% / 52,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 19736 wagers · RTP 83,79%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 10233 wagers · RTP 110,03%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 02031 wagers · RTP 72,35%

BlackjackR 50815 wagers · RTP 85,63%

Virtual Sports BettingR 46914 wagers · RTP 44,31%

American RouletteR 33010 wagers · RTP 79,39%

CrashR 2357 wagers · RTP 161,70%

BaccaratR 1715 wagers · RTP 121,64%

Craps / DiceR 1695 wagers · RTP 200,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1384 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies