Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #633 of 1,000

P0032

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 12,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 747

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 253

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 567Deviation -R 2 686

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 253. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 617

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 760 to R 4 048
Finished ahead: 242 / 1,000 (24,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #501 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,59% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.855
Mean bets / session: 4.209
Loss multiplier: 1.0245×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,6% / 64,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Three-Reel SlotR 1 80836 wagers · RTP 49,06%

American RouletteR 1 68033 wagers · RTP 99,88%

European RouletteR 1 39028 wagers · RTP 67,12%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 01419 wagers · RTP 105,60%

Lottery / JackpotR 99420 wagers · RTP 32,60%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 87818 wagers · RTP 10,59%

CrashR 66613 wagers · RTP 44,67%

BaccaratR 62713 wagers · RTP 71,61%

Craps / DiceR 55411 wagers · RTP 130,32%

BlackjackR 3307 wagers · RTP 70,91%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies