Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #614 of 1,000

P0033

Small bets, frequent. The visible result sits at the 6,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 952

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 048

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 417Deviation -R 2 632

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 048. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 326

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 137 to R 4 183
Finished ahead: 269 / 1,000 (26,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #465 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,41% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 2.007
Mean bets / session: 5.757
Loss multiplier: 1.003×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,8% / 36,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 32367 wagers · RTP 57,99%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 28268 wagers · RTP 104,36%

BlackjackR 1 34739 wagers · RTP 85,82%

American RouletteR 1 06932 wagers · RTP 43,50%

CrashR 72222 wagers · RTP 51,80%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 70020 wagers · RTP 10,86%

Virtual Sports BettingR 52915 wagers · RTP 66,97%

Craps / DiceR 44913 wagers · RTP 116,70%

Lottery / JackpotR 40912 wagers · RTP 50,86%

BaccaratR 34310 wagers · RTP 69,64%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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